Increasingly, public sector organisations are turning to statistics to help drive performance, improve decision making and deliver better services. With this growing dependency on statistics, there is an increasing need for more professionals to be able to think in a more statistical way.

By attending this virtual Understanding Statistical Analysis course, delivered by statistician Alex Bottle, gain the skills to mitigate risk when making decisions, confidently interpret data-based reports and develop simple but effective forecasting strategies.

This course gives an overview and understanding of how to make more effective decisions based on statistical reports produced by analysts and researchers.

Unlocking the Power of Virtual

Our virtual courses have been designed with you in mind. From group exercises in breakout rooms to live chat, whiteboards and interactive polls, we use a range of tools and techniques to ensure that you can connect with your trainer; network and share best practice with your peers and leave the day with the skills you need.

Our courses provide you with an interactive and engaging learning environment that can be accessed from any location, helping you to continue to connect, learn and grow. Click here to discover more!

Please note we will use Zoom to deliver this course.

About the Chair: Alex Bottle

Alex is an experienced statistician, speaker and tutor who uses a range of data sources and presentational methods to help hospitals and clinicians improve their performance.

After his first job as a statistician with a large pharmaceutical company, Alex moved to Imperial College London and gained a PhD in Epidemiology. He was seconded to the Shipman Public Inquiry to investigate how statistics could be used to detect GPs like Shipman with high death rates. Since 2002, his research has focused on measuring the quality and safety of healthcare using large databases and on helping clinicians and managers to improve standards through better use and presentation of data.

A Fellow of the Higher Education Academy, he teaches statistics and critical appraisal of evidence to medical and other science students. He runs training sessions on the use and interpretation of healthcare performance data for customer support managers at his unit’s longstanding commercial partners and their NHS and international customers. Find out more.

09:25 - 09:30

Registration

09:30 - 10:00

Virtual Ice Breaker and Clarification of Learning Objectives

10:00 - 10:45

First Steps: Some Basic Statistical Terms

  • What is statistical thinking and why does it matter?
  • Types and examples of quantitative data: continuous, categorical, count
  • Some common distributions in the real world, e.g. normal, bimodal, uniform, skewed
  • When averages are misleading
  • Key terms such as mean, mode, median, percentile, standard deviation, range, ratio, probability and risk, odds, accuracy vs precision
  • Why the jury acquitted OJ Simpson of murder and why this matters to your analysis
10:45 - 11:00

Morning Break

11:00 - 12:00

Understanding Variation 1: Describing Variation and Randomness

  • Quantifying variation
  • What is randomness? Why and when is it a problem
  • Exercise: quick demo of randomness in action
  • The role of chance and how to assess it (hypothesis testing)
  • Exercise on assessing how much variation exists between teams
12:00 - 13:00

Understanding Variation 2: Sampling Strategies and Bias

  • Options for surveying customers and staff: sampling strategies
  • Measurement error and precarious data
  • Exercise: how satisfied are my customers?
13:00 - 13:45

Lunch

13:45 - 14:00

Reflection Session

  • Trainer will review the day’s learning and the next stages of the course
  • Delegates will have time to ask questions and share views with one another
14:00 - 14:45

Associations and Trends

  • Correlation vs. causation
  • The linear trend: concept of least squares and choosing line of best fit
  • Types of trends: linear, exponential rise or fall, step change, seasonal, other non-linear
  • Exercise: what’s the trend here?
14:45 - 15:00

Afternoon Break

15:00 - 16:00

Forecasting and Getting It Wrong

The Trainer will facilitate a group discussion around the ways in which forecasts can go wrong and the ways to reduce the risk of this happening

  • Extrapolating from a linear trend
  • How to choose between linear and non-linear trends in Excel
  • Common cognitive biases that affect data interpretation and decision making
16:00 - 16:15

Key Takeaways and Roundup

Alex Bottle

Statistician

Alex is an experienced statistician, speaker and tutor who uses a range of data sources and presentational methods to help…

Read more

Virtual

Q: Can I make a provisional booking?

A: Unfortunately, we do not accept provisional bookings. Registrations are subject to our terms and conditions. View terms and conditions here

Q: Can I book without a purchase order number?

A: Yes. Simply email enquiries@moderngov.com after you have booked the course, with your Purchase Order Number. Please quote your order number and the course you are booked onto.

Q: I have just registered for the course, when will I receive the joining instructions?

A: You will receive the joining instructions and reminders, 6 weeks, 2 weeks and 3 days before the course date. Please check your spam box to see whether the joining instructions were sent there, if not please call 0800 542 9440 so we can have these sent to you immediately.

Q: I can no longer attend the course, can a colleague attend in my place?

A: Substitutions may be made at any time but must be made no later than 48 hours prior to the event. Please call 0800 542 9440 or email enquiries@moderngov.com with the replacement's details.

Q: What is your cancellation policy?

A: Cancellations must be received in writing 30 working days before the date of the event and will be subject to a £195+VAT administration fee. Cancellations received after this time will be subject to the full delegate fee.

Q: Why haven’t I received the speaker’s presentation?

A: Speakers presentations are sent a week after the event date. Please contact a member of the UMG team on 0800 542 9440 or enquiries@moderngov.com if it has been more than a week.

Q: Can’t find what you are looking for?

A: Why not contact a member of the UMG team on 0800 542 9440 or email enquiries@moderngov.com.