Increasingly, public sector organisations are turning to statistics to help drive performance, improve decision making and deliver better services. With this growing dependency on statistics, there is an increasing need for more professionals to be able to think in a more statistical way.

By attending this Understanding Statistical Analysis course, delivered by statistician Alex Bottle, gain the skills to mitigate risk when making decisions, confidently interpret data-based reports and develop simple but effective forecasting strategies.

This course gives professionals with no or only a limited understanding of statistics the confidence to make more effective decisions based on statistical reports produced by analysts and researchers.

NB: Delegates who attend the day will be asked to bring their own laptops.

What previous delegates have said:

“An excellent introduction, pitched to the right level.”- Business Intelligence and Data Analytics Manager, Leeds University

“Excellent course. I feel like I have learnt a lot in relaxed conditions.”- Data Management Officer, Mersey Travel

About the Trainer: Alex Bottle

Alex is an experienced statistician, speaker and tutor who uses a range of data sources and presentation methods to help hospitals and clinicians improve their performance.

After his first job as a statistician with a large pharmaceutical company, Alex moved to Imperial College London and gained a PhD in Epidemiology. He was seconded to the Shipman Public Inquiry to investigate how statistics could be used to detect GPs like Shipman with high death rates. Since 2002, his research has focused on measuring the quality and safety of healthcare using large databases and on helping clinicians and managers to improve standards through better use and presentation of data.

A Fellow of the Higher Education Academy, he teaches statistics and critical appraisal of evidence to medical and other science students. He runs training sessions on the use and interpretation of healthcare performance data for customer support managers at his unit’s longstanding commercial partners and their NHS and international customers. Find out more.

09:15 - 09:45

Registration

09:45 - 10:00

Trainer's Welcome & Clarification of Learning Objectives

The Trainer will introduce the main concepts to be covered during the course, including:

  • Types of data and common distributions
  • Measuring and understanding variation
  • Correlation, trends and linear forecasting
10:00 - 10:45

First Steps: Some Basic Statistical Terms

  • What is statistical thinking and why does it matter?
  • Types and examples of quantitative data: continuous, categorical, count
  • Some common distributions in the real world, e.g. normal, bimodal, uniform, skewed
  • When averages are misleading
  • Key terms such as mean, mode, median, percentile, standard deviation, range, ratio, probability and risk, odds, accuracy vs precision
  • Why the jury acquitted OJ Simpson of murder and why this matters to your analysis
10:45 - 11:00

Morning Break

11:00 - 12:00

Understanding Variation 1: Describing Variation and Randomness

  • Quantifying variation
  • What is randomness? Why and when is it a problem
  • Exercise: quick demo of randomness in action
  • The role of chance and how to assess it (hypothesis testing)
  • Exercise on assessing how much variation exists between units
12:00 - 13:00

Understanding Variation 2: Sampling Strategies and Bias

  • Options for surveying customers and staff: sampling strategies
  • Measurement error and precarious data
  • Exercise: how satisfied are my customers?
13:00 - 14:00

Lunch

14:00 - 14:45

Associations and Trends

  • Correlation vs causation
  • The linear trend: concept of least squares and choosing line of best fit
  • Types of trends: linear, exponential rise or fall, step change, seasonal, other non-linear
  • Exercise: what’s the trend here?
14:45 - 15:00

Afternoon Break

15:00 - 16:00

Forecasting and Getting it Wrong

The Trainer will facilitate a group discussion around the ways in which forecasts can go wrong, and the ways to reduce the risk of this happening

  • Extrapolating from a linear trend
  • How to choose between linear and non-linear trends in Excel
  • Common cognitive biases that affect data interpretation and decision making
16:00 - 16:15

Summary, Evaluation & Close

Alex Bottle

Statistician

Alex is an experienced statistician, speaker and tutor who uses a range of data sources and presentational methods to help…

Read more

Radisson Blu Hotel, Cardiff

Radisson Blu Hotel
Meridian Gate
Bute Terrace
Cardiff
CF10 2FL

029 2045 4777

Q: Can I make a provisional booking?

A: Unfortunately, we do not accept provisional bookings. Registrations are subject to our terms and conditions. View terms and conditions here

Q: Can I book without a purchase order number?

A: Yes. Simply email enquiries@moderngov.com after you have booked the course, with your Purchase Order Number. Please quote your order number and the course you are booked onto.

Q: Is lunch included?

A: Yes, a two-course hot buffet is served at lunch. Tea and coffee are served throughout the day.

Q: I have special dietary requirements, how can I request this?

A: Special dietary requirements can be catered for, please ensure you include this in the further information box when registering your place. If you have forgotten to add this, you can also send your requirements to enquiries@moderngov.com or call 0800 542 9440. Please let us know as soon as possible so we can ensure your needs are met.

Q: I have just registered for the course, when will I receive the joining instructions?

A: You will receive the joining instructions and reminders, 6 weeks, 2 weeks and 3 days before the course date. Please check your spam box to see whether the joining instructions were sent there, if not please call 0800 542 9440 so we can have these sent to you immediately.

Q: I can no longer attend the course, can a colleague attend in my place?

A: Substitutions may be made at any time but must be made no later than 48 hours prior to the event. Please call 0800 542 9440 or email enquiries@moderngov.com with the replacement's details.

Q: What is your cancellation policy?

A: Cancellations must be received in writing 30 working days before the date of the event and will be subject to a £195+VAT administration fee. Cancellations received after this time will be subject to the full delegate fee.

Q: Why haven’t I received the speaker’s presentation?

A: Speakers presentations are sent a week after the event date. Please contact a member of the UMG team on 0800 542 9440 or enquiries@moderngov.com if it has been more than a week.

Q: Will there be WI-FI?

A: Yes, all our venues have the latest technology, offer full audio visual support and WI-FI.

Q: Can’t find what you are looking for?

A: Why not contact a member of the UMG team on 0800 542 9440 or email enquiries@moderngov.com.